Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 18

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Ernie Smith Reserve (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	SD Raiders		University of New South Wales

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.30
	2.68	3.6	2.2
	2.84	3.78	2.27
	2.72	3.96	2.22	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.9	3.51	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.12)	3.61 ↑ (3.48)	2.25 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Raiders
33.4%

Draw
25.6%

University of New South Wales
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

26.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Raiders's form might have worsened.

University of New South Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting University of New South Wales's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Raiders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for University of New South Wales, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

SD Raiders - University of New South Wales Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Raiders will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). UNSW will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Raiders has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UNSW is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

UNSW may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Raiders will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Raiders won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Raiders won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Raiders
Australian NPL NSW
16.05.26	SD Raiders - Sutherland Sharks	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	SD Raiders - North West Sydney Spirit	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	SD Raiders - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	SD Raiders - St George Saints	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTLWW
- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NPL NSW
30.05.26	University of New South Wales - Wollongong Wolves	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	University of New South Wales - Sydney United	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	University of New South Wales - Rockdale Ilinden	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Manly United - University of New South Wales	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	University of New South Wales - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
21.02.26	University of New South Wales - SD Raiders	1:1
Australian NSW League One
28.06.25	University of New South Wales - SD Raiders	1:0
06.05.25	SD Raiders - University of New South Wales	1:3
06.07.24	University of New South Wales - SD Raiders	0:2

SD Raiders - University of New South Wales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide