Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 26

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Essen (Essen)

Referee: Schwermer M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball


	SGS Essen		Freiburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.65	1.85	Watch
	3.19	4.14	1.97
	3.16	4.26	1.93	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.71	3.82	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.66)	3.87 ↑ (3.57)	1.88 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SGS Essen
27.3%

Draw
23.8%

Freiburg
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

25.9%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SGS Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SGS Essen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

SGS Essen - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. SGS Essen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Freiburg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sindermann K. (G) 19. Sterner B. 18. Ostermeier L. 15. Pucks L. 26. Backer L. 5. Flach P. 16. Meissner J. (C) 25. Platner P. 32. Touon E. 20. Kopp L. 9. Maier R.	33. Adamczyk R. (G) 35. Schick Z. 18. Maas M. 24. Sigurdardottir I. 2. Karl L. (C) 4. Felde M. 20. Egli L. 6. Ojukwu N. 10. Vobian S. 27. Nachtigall S. 8. Bienz A.
Substitutes
13. Berentzen M. 23. Debitzki J. 31. Feldkamp J. 10. Kowalski N. 24. Lucassen P. (G) 35. Olsen M. 21. Palmen L. (G) 28. Potsi K. 14. Van Belle S.	3. Axtmann A. 32. Dubel S. (G) 9. Folmli S. 31. Scherer N. 15. Schneider M. 25. Simmen W. 16. Stegemann G. 5. Stierli J.
Coaches
Jaques H.	Kapllani E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Maier R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Maas M. 🟨,
55', Ojukwu N. 🟨,
62', Schick Z. ↓, Stegemann G. ↑,
62', Maas M. ↓, Axtmann A. ↑,
68', Nachtigall S. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Sterner B. ⚽,
73', Nachtigall S. ↓, Folmli S. ↑,
73', Meissner J. ↓, Berentzen M. ↑,
73', Kopp L. ↓, Kowalski N. ↑,
73', Ojukwu N. ↓, Schneider M. ↑,
85', Pucks L. ↓, Feldkamp J. ↑,
85', Maier R. ↓, Olsen M. ↑,
86', Ostermeier L. ↓, Debitzki J. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Folmli S. ⚽, Felde M. (A),
88', Vobian S. ↓, Scherer N. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SGS Essen won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SGS Essen won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, SGS Essen won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Freiburg W	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SGS Essen
German Bundesliga Women
08.05.26	Nürnberg - SGS Essen	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	SGS Essen - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
25.04.26	SGS Essen - Carl Zeiss Jena	4:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
06.04.26	Bayern Munich - SGS Essen	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
29.03.26	Werder Bremen - SGS Essen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- SC Freiburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
09.05.26	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	2:4 ✺
03.05.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Freiburg	1:5 ✺
26.04.26	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Freiburg	4:1 ✺
29.03.26	Freiburg - TSG Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
13.12.25	Freiburg - SGS Essen	0:0
02.05.25	SGS Essen - Freiburg	0:0
15.11.24	Freiburg - SGS Essen	1:0
05.05.24	Freiburg - SGS Essen	0:1
09.12.23	SGS Essen - Freiburg	0:1
12.03.23	SGS Essen - Freiburg	2:1
02.10.22	Freiburg - SGS Essen	5:2

SGS Essen - Freiburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide