Match Info

BELARUS: Pershaya Liga - Round 18

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: RCOP-BGU Stadium (Minsk)


	SKA-1938		Ostrovets

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.75	1.95
	2.79	3.65	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.8)	3.7 ↑ (3.35)	1.95 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 12.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-1938
31.1%

Draw
23.8%

Ostrovets
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.1%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27.7%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-1938 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SKA-1938's performance.

Ostrovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-1938 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA-1938 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Veretynskiy K. (G) 14. Bobchenok N. 9. Chul D. 3. Fedorovich F. 23. Ganchuk V. 4. Kazakov I. 2. Kebikov R. 11. Pashkevich M. 21. Ssorin D. 24. Vainer A. 12. Voyna E.	1. Belyi A. (G) 8. Bakinovskiy A. 77. Drozdovich A. 12. Kachur N. 9. Khvostovich D. 7. Kondratovich Z. 19. Konev A. 21. Lotysh M. 4. Shashko E. 23. Volovik Y. 25. Yatskevich V.
Substitutes
22. Kazlovsky V. (G) 29. Lesko D. 19. Lukashenko E. 25. Sakovich A. 13. Seledtsov D. (G) 28. Ssorin V. 17. Starovoytov A. 20. Tagaev M. 8. Tamkovich M. 18. Zhlobich A.	13. Ashrafi A. 22. Avgustinovich M. 47. Belashevich V. 15. Furmanov I. 11. Gomonov S. 5. Grigarkevich V. 18. Kolomatskiy A. 35. Loyko V. (G) 10. Semenov E. 20. Zhukovskiy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Yatskevich V. ⚽, Kachur N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yatskevich V. ↓, Kolomatskiy A. ↑,
59', Pashkevich M. ↓, Starovoytov A. ↑,
67', Khvostovich D. ↓, Semenov E. ↑,
67', Ganchuk V. ↓, Sakovich A. ↑,
71', Bakinovskiy A. ↓, Belashevich V. ↑,
75', Kondratovich Z. 🟨,
84', Vainer A. ↓, Zhlobich A. ↑,
84', Ssorin D. ↓, Tagaev M. ↑,
86', Kondratovich Z. ↓, Grigarkevich V. ↑,
86', Lotysh M. ↓, Zhukovskiy A. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ostrovets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ostrovets will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.07.24	Molodechno - SKA-1938	3:3 ✺
19.07.24	Slonim - SKA-1938	2:3 ✺
Belarusian Cup
13.07.24	SKA-1938 - Slutsk	0:5 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.07.24	SKA-1938 - Baranovichi	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Orsha - SKA-1938	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 TWLTT
- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
31.07.24	Molodechno - Ostrovets	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Ostrovets - Baranovichi	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	ML Vitebsk - Ostrovets	3:1 ✺
07.07.24	Ostrovets - Niva Dolbizno	3:3 ✺
22.06.24	Ostrovets - Torpedo-BelAZ 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLTW

SKA-1938 - Ostrovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide