Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 27

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Ostrovets)


	Ostrovets		Niva Dolbizno

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.21	3.74	2.65
	2.33	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.4)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	2.62 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostrovets
39.2%

Draw
26.5%

Niva Dolbizno
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostrovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

The chances for Niva Dolbizno have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Ostrovets - Niva Dolbizno Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ostrovets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Kovruk M. (G) 8. Bakinovskiy A. 11. Bara Y. 21. Isachenko E. 9. Khvostovich D. 18. Pilipenko M. 4. Shashko E. 19. Shedko E. 27. Tolkachev I. 15. Turovets D. 20. Zhernosek G.	12. Dovnar N. (G) 99. Chuyko N. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 15. Monich I. 29. Pampukha P. 77. Shubovich V. 8. Sibilev D. 41. Tkhagalegov A. 69. Yaroshik A.
Substitutes
17. Azerskiy E. 22. German D. 12. Kachur N. 29. Kalinovskiy M. 44. Kondratovich Z. 10. Semenov E. 99. Yukhnovich V. (G)	1. Belov R. (G) 91. Chuyko A. 20. Martysevich A. 7. Mulkevich D. 47. Starostin V. 13. Sysoev A. 11. Yushchenko E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Leshkevich N. ⚽, Monich I. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Chuyko N. ⚽, Pampukha P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Semenov E. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).

In recent matches, Ostrovets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Niva Dolbizno's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ostrovets won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ostrovets won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
28.09.25	BATE 2 - Ostrovets	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Ostrovets - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Belshina - Ostrovets	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ostrovets - Slonim	3:0 ✺
15.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLWWL
- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
28.09.25	Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk	2:4 ✺
21.09.25	Gomel 2 - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Niva Dolbizno - Baranovichi	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Niva Dolbizno - Uni X Labs Minsk	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Osipovichi - Niva Dolbizno	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
01.06.25	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	2:1
02.11.24	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	1:0
07.07.24	Ostrovets - Niva Dolbizno	3:3
28.10.23	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	1:1
24.06.23	Ostrovets - Niva Dolbizno	1:1

Ostrovets - Niva Dolbizno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide