Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga Central - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	SPG Wels		Gleisdorf

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.75
	1.29	5	8
	1.32	5.19	7.45
	1.29	4.9	8.3
	1.29	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.51)	5.02 ↑ (4.5)	7.9 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPG Wels
70.3%

Draw
18.2%

Gleisdorf
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

19.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPG Wels's performance.

Gleisdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gleisdorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPG Wels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gleisdorf than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gleisdorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SPG Wels - Gleisdorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Tischler L. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Schwaighofer J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 2 - 1, Berger C. ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
27.09.24	LASK II - SPG Wels	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	SPG Wels - Union Gurten	1:0 ✺
17.09.24	SV Wildon - SPG Wels	1:3 ✺
06.09.24	SPG Wels - Leoben	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen - SPG Wels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW
- FC Gleisdorf 09
Austrian Regionalliga Central
01.10.24	Gleisdorf - Union Vöcklamarkt	0:3 ✺
24.09.24	Vorwärts Steyr - Gleisdorf	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Ried II - Gleisdorf	0:0 ✺
04.09.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Gleisdorf	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	LASK II - Gleisdorf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
17.05.24	SPG Wels - Gleisdorf	0:0
13.10.23	Gleisdorf - SPG Wels	0:2
07.06.23	SPG Wels - Gleisdorf	5:3
28.10.22	Gleisdorf - SPG Wels	1:2
28.05.22	SPG Wels - Gleisdorf	5:1
22.10.21	Gleisdorf - SPG Wels	1:4
18.10.20	Gleisdorf - SPG Wels	1:0

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