Match Info

Date: 23 October 2020, Friday


	SPG Wels		Stadl-Paura

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	6.75
	1.2	6.4	8
	1.22	6.85	8.46
	1.22	5.8	9
	1.2	7	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.38)	6.31 ↑ (5.15)	8.36 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPG Wels
74.7%

Draw
14.4%

Stadl-Paura
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

18%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

10.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPG Wels's performance.

Stadl-Paura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-36.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPG Wels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stadl-Paura than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stadl-Paura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SPG Wels - Stadl Paura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

WSC Wels is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stadl-Paura is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match WSC Wels is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches WSC Wels won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams WSC Wels won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
18.10.20	Gleisdorf - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
09.10.20	SPG Wels - Wels	4:1 ✺
02.10.20	Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen - SPG Wels	6:2 ✺
25.09.20	SPG Wels - Ried II	1:2 ✺
18.09.20	Deutschlandsberger - SPG Wels	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLT
- ATSV Stadl-Paura
Austrian Regionalliga Central
17.10.20	Stadl-Paura - Union Gurten	1:2 ✺
09.10.20	Bad Gleichenberg - Stadl-Paura	2:0 ✺
19.09.20	Stadl-Paura - Sturm Graz B	0:1 ✺
12.09.20	Stadl-Paura - Allerheiligen	3:2 ✺
08.09.20	Gleisdorf - Stadl-Paura	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
16.08.19	SPG Wels - Stadl-Paura	5:0
24.05.19	Stadl-Paura - SPG Wels	2:0
20.10.18	SPG Wels - Stadl-Paura	2:2
Club Friendly
19.01.17	SPG Wels - Stadl-Paura	Canceled

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