Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga Central - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	SPG Wels		Ried II

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	4.6
	1.52	4.3	4.7
	1.52	4.41	4.92
	1.51	4.45	4.94	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.49	4.3	5.11
	1.52	4.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)	4.33 ↑ (4.3)	4.85 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPG Wels
60.2%

Draw
21%

Ried II
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

21.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

22.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPG Wels's performance.

Ried II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried II than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

SPG Wels - Ried II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Huber H. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Bosnjak A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 3 - 0, Bosnjak A. ⚽,
71', 4 - 0, Castro A. ⚽,
76', 4 - 1, Worndl B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SPG Wels won 3.

Recent matches SPG Wels is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ried II is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match SPG Wels is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches SPG Wels won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams SPG Wels won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
12.10.24	Vorwärts Steyr - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	SPG Wels - Gleisdorf	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	LASK II - SPG Wels	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	SPG Wels - Union Gurten	1:0 ✺
17.09.24	SV Wildon - SPG Wels	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW
- SV Ried II
Austrian Regionalliga Central
12.10.24	Ried II - Union Vöcklamarkt	3:0 ✺
04.10.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Ried II	4:0 ✺
28.09.24	Vorwärts Steyr - Ried II	0:3 ✺
24.09.24	LASK II - Ried II	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Ried II - Gleisdorf	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
19.04.24	SPG Wels - Ried II	5:0
15.09.23	Ried II - SPG Wels	0:1
18.04.23	SPG Wels - Ried II	2:0
01.04.22	Ried II - SPG Wels	1:1
25.09.20	SPG Wels - Ried II	1:2
30.08.19	SPG Wels - Ried II	1:1

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