Match Info

Regionalliga Central - Round 28

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday


	SPG Wels		Union Vöcklamarkt

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.6	5.25
	1.32	5.4	6.6
	1.34	6.52	5.31
	1.32	6.03	6.13	Watch
	1.26	5.5	8.05
	1.32	5.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	5.58 ↑ (4.6)	6.32 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPG Wels
69%

Draw
16.5%

Union Vöcklamarkt
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

18.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Union Vöcklamarkt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Vöcklamarkt than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

SPG Wels - Union Vöcklamarkt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Bosnjak A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Liga and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SPG Wels won 3.

SPG Wels is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vöcklamarkt's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, SPG Wels is the team to beat.

We predict that SPG Wels will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, SPG Wels won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 2.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SPG Wels won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 3.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
17.05.25	Ried II - SPG Wels	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	SPG Wels - Vorwärts Steyr	3:1 ✺
30.04.25	Gleisdorf - SPG Wels	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	SPG Wels - LASK II	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Union Gurten - SPG Wels	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWTT
- Union Vöcklamarkt
Austrian Regionalliga Central
16.05.25	Union Vöcklamarkt - Wallern-Marienkirchen	2:3 ✺
10.05.25	Union Vöcklamarkt - Ried II	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Vorwärts Steyr - Union Vöcklamarkt	1:5 ✺
26.04.25	Union Vöcklamarkt - Gleisdorf	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	LASK II - Union Vöcklamarkt	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
25.10.24	Union Vöcklamarkt - SPG Wels	1:3
15.03.24	SPG Wels - Union Vöcklamarkt	3:0
11.08.23	Union Vöcklamarkt - SPG Wels	0:3
12.05.23	SPG Wels - Union Vöcklamarkt	3:3
30.09.22	Union Vöcklamarkt - SPG Wels	1:1
22.04.22	SPG Wels - Union Vöcklamarkt	6:0
11.09.20	SPG Wels - Union Vöcklamarkt	2:1

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