Match Info

Date: 3 March 2020, Tuesday


	Saarbrücken		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.95
	3.9	3.65	1.88	Watch
	3.61	3.53	1.92
	3.86	3.63	1.96
	3.7	3.7	1.91	Watch
	3.78	3.78	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.53)	3.64 ↓ (3.81)	1.92 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
25%

Draw
25.9%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

24.7%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

14.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Düsseldorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saarbrücken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Düsseldorf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.8%	14.7%	76.5%

Saarbrücken - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Fortuna will win (votes: 26 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 62.2% – 90.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.02.20	Saarbrücken - Balingen	4:0 ✺
22.02.20	FSV Frankfurt - Saarbrücken	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.20	Progrès Niedercorn - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
12.02.20	Pirmasens - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.02.20	Saarbrücken - Karlsruher	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTLW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German Bundesliga
28.02.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	3:3 ✺
22.02.20	Freiburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2 ✺
15.02.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:4 ✺
08.02.20	Wolfsburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.02.20	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWLTW

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