Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Freiburg		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	4	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.86	3.65	4.1	Watch
	1.86	3.7	3.95
	1.9	3.83	4.09
	1.88	3.7	4	Watch
	1.95	3.74	4.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.96)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	4.03 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
50.7%

Draw
25.6%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

20.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.4%	7.7%	1.9%

Freiburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (47 of 52 users predict this - 90.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.37% – 98.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
15.02.20	Augsburg - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
08.02.20	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	1:0 ✺
02.02.20	Köln - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
25.01.20	Freiburg - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
18.01.20	Mainz - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLLW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German Bundesliga
15.02.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:4 ✺
08.02.20	Wolfsburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.02.20	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.02.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
26.01.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
29.09.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:2
05.05.19	Freiburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
15.12.18	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
14.02.16	Freiburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
22.08.15	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:2
German Bundesliga
10.02.13	Freiburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
22.09.12	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	0:0

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