Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, Footballclub


	Sabadell		Eibar B

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.25
	1.6	3.35	5.8
	1.61	3.47	5.66
	1.63	3.36	5.7	Watch
	1.53	3.3	5.8
	1.61	3.4	5.98
	1.6	3.35	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.1)	3.36 ↑ (3.18)	5.71 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
57%

Draw
27.1%

Eibar B
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabadell's performance.

Eibar B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eibar B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar B than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eibar B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sabadell - Eibar B Predictions

Users Predictions: Sabadell will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sabadell will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 1, Sarasketa L. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Sabadell is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.05.25	Valencia B - Sabadell	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Sabadell - Badalona Futur	5:0 ✺
20.04.25	Terrassa - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Sabadell - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	CE Europa - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- SD Eibar B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.05.25	Eibar B - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	SD Logroñés - Eibar B	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Eibar B - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Utebo - Eibar B	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Eibar B - Teruel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLT

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