Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sabadell		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.8	9.25
	1.27	4.8	9.6
	1.27	5.11	9.61	Watch
	1.25	5.1	11.6
	1.27	4.8	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)	4.92 ↑ (4.15)	9.93 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
72.2%

Draw
18.6%

Peña Deportiva
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

22%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

21.1%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabadell's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Sabadell - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Sabadell is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Peña Deportiva is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sabadell is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.04.25	CE Europa - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Sabadell - Mallorca B	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Elche Ilicitano - Sabadell	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Sabadell - Alzira	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Olot - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.04.25	Peña Deportiva - Sant Andreu	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Cornellà - Peña Deportiva	4:2 ✺
23.03.25	Peña Deportiva - Lleida	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Peña Deportiva - Andratx	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.12.24	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:0 penalties
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.02.18	Sabadell - Peña Deportiva	1:1
01.10.17	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:1

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