The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sabadell 31%
Draw 33.4%
Mirandés 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
33.9%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.5%
23.8%
46.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
Sabadell - Mirandés Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Mirandés will win (votes: 8 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sabadell: 20.7% – 54.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Sabadell has a chance of relegated (36%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mirandés has a chance of relegated (27%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sabadell is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Mirandés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.