Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bank Respublika Arena (Masazır) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Azerbaijan	20:00	Ictimai TV
Moldova	19:00	Moldova 2


	Sabah		Petrocub-Hîncești

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.2	6	Watch
	1.4	4.47	7.29
	1.52	4.06	6.02	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.46	4.55	7.25	Watch
	1.63	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.63)	4.19 ↑ (3.6)	6.2 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabah
62.9%

Draw
22.1%

Petrocub-Hîncești
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabah's performance.

Petrocub-Hîncești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Sabah - Petrocub Hîncești Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sabah will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Pokatilov S. (G) 80. Zedadka A. 40. Ygor Nogueira 13. Lepinjica I. 3. Solvet S. 70. Sekidika J. 10. Nuriyev A. 22. Ould Khaled Z. 7. Letic B. 18. Safranko P. (C) 20. Mickels J.	1. Smalenea S. (G) 11. Platica S. 66. Bors I. 44. Guera Djou J. 90. Jardan I. (C) 23. Lupan M. 79. Bogaciuc V. 39. Lungu T. 19. Rotaru N. 13. Cojocaru M. 15. Popescu P.
Substitutes
88. Aliyev K. 53. Andrey 5. Dashdamirov R. 8. Guliev A. 6. Khaybulaev A. 99. Kupusovic N. 55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 11. Parris K. 33. Rakhmonaliyev U. 72. Samigullin R. (G) 2. Seydiyev A.	32. Covali D. (G) 3. Cucos C. 8. Demian D. 27. Dijinari V. 31. Dodon V. (G) 24. Ngah C. 17. Pascaluta C. 21. Potirniche M. 37. Puscas D. 7. Spataru D.
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Makharadze S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
21', Guera Djou J. ↓, Potirniche M. ↑,
22', 1 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽, Nuriyev A. (A),
40', Solvet S. 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Solvet S. (Own goal),
44', 3 - 1, Mickels J. ⚽, Safranko P. (A),
45+1', 4 - 1, Safranko P. ⚽, Mickels J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lungu T. ↓, Cucos C. ↑,
46', Popescu P. ↓, Pascaluta C. ↑,
46', Potirniche M. ↓, Ngah C. ↑,
46', Nuriyev A. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,
46', Ould Khaled Z. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
52', Guliev A. 🟨,
58', Cojocaru M. 🟨,
66', Lupan M. ↓, Puscas D. ↑,
66', Mickels J. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
66', Safranko P. ↓, Kupusovic N. ↑,
66', Ygor Nogueira ↓, Andrey ↑,
84', Jardan I. 🟨,
86', Parris K. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.

Sabah is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Petrocub's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sabah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sabah has had a series of away games.

Recently, Petrocub has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sabah is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sabah	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Celje - Sabah	3:3 ET ✺
10.07.25	Sabah - Celje	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.25	Rapid Bucureşti - Sabah	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
31.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWLTW
- Petrocub-Hîncești
Moldovan Super Liga
27.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Dacia Buiucani	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sabah	0:2 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
20.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Birkirkara	3:0 ✺
10.07.25	Birkirkara - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sabah	0:2

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