Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadionul Zimbru (Chişinău) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Levi G. (Isr)


	Petrocub-Hîncești		Sabah

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.85	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.11	3.31	2.23
	3.02	3.35	2.27	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.62
	2.95	3.54	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.64)	3.34 ↑ (3.29)	2.37 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrocub-Hîncești
32.9%

Draw
27.8%

Sabah
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35%

28%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrocub-Hîncești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	6.2%	37.5%

Petrocub Hîncești - Sabah Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Petrocub will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Sabah will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Petrocub: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Petrocub (votes: 1 - 50%). Sabah (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sabah (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Petrocub (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sabah (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smalenea S. (G) 90. Jardan I. (C) 21. Potirniche M. 24. Ngah C. 66. Bors I. 11. Platica S. 44. Guera Djou J. 39. Lungu T. 79. Bogaciuc V. 13. Cojocaru M. 23. Lupan M.	92. Pokatilov S. (G) 80. Zedadka A. 40. Ygor Nogueira 3. Solvet S. 5. Dashdamirov R. 70. Sekidika J. 13. Lepinjica I. 22. Ould Khaled Z. 10. Nuriyev A. 18. Safranko P. (C) 20. Mickels J.
Substitutes
32. Covali D. (G) 3. Cucos C. 77. Decev S. 8. Demian D. 27. Dijinari V. 31. Dodon V. (G) 17. Pascaluta C. 15. Popescu P. 37. Puscas D. 19. Rotaru N. 7. Spataru D.	88. Aliyev K. 53. Andrey 8. Guliev A. 6. Khaybulaev A. 99. Kupusovic N. 7. Letic B. 55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 11. Parris K. 33. Rakhmonaliyev U. 72. Samigullin R. (G) 2. Seydiyev A.
Coaches
Makharadze S.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Lungu T. 🟨,
21', Bogaciuc V. 🟨,
45+3', Ngah C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', Lupan M. ↓, Puscas D. ↑,
67', Platica S. ↓, Rotaru N. ↑,
67', Cojocaru M. ↓, Popescu P. ↑,
69', Dashdamirov R. ↓, Letic B. ↑,
69', Ould Khaled Z. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
69', Nuriyev A. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
72', Potirniche M. ↓, Cucos C. ↑,
81', Bogaciuc V. ↓, Spataru D. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Safranko P. ⚽,
87', Sekidika J. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,
87', Mickels J. ↓, Aliyev K. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Parris K. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadionul Zimbru.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Petrocub may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Petrocub has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrocub-Hîncești
Moldovan Super Liga
20.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Birkirkara	3:0 ✺
10.07.25	Birkirkara - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
05.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Politehnica UTM	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLWW
- Sabah Baku FK
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Celje - Sabah	3:3 ET ✺
10.07.25	Sabah - Celje	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.25	Rapid Bucureşti - Sabah	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
31.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:3 ET ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
24.05.25	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLTWW

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