Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Bank Respublika Arena (Masazır)

Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sabah		Turan Tovuz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.15	2.72
	2.49	3.48	2.52
	2.84	2.15	3.81	Watch
	2.51	3.15	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.19)	2.98 ↓ (3.41)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabah
36.6%

Draw
31.2%

Turan Tovuz
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sabah's form might have worsened.

Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sabah - Turan Tovuz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Pokatilov S. (G) 88. Aliyev K. 5. Dashdamirov R. 13. Lepinjica I. 11. Parris K. 27. Puchacz T. 33. Rakhmonaliyev U. 18. Safranko P. (C) 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S. 80. Zedadka A.	1. Baklov O. (G) 4. Aliyev S. (C) 15. Hackman E. 88. Hadzhiyev F. 3. Henrique 32. Hurtado H. 90. Jo Batista 19. Olabe R. 29. Ozobic F. 23. Serrano A. 21. Souza Alex
Substitutes
53. Andrey 8. Guliev A. 6. Khaybulaev A. 19. Malouda A. 55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 20. Mickels J. 17. Mutallimov T. 22. Ould Khaled Z. 72. Samigullin R. (G) 2. Seydiyev A.	11. Guseynov A. 13. Haciyev M. (G) 5. Miller R. 10. Nacafov K. 2. Rzayev A. 77. Rzayev V. 17. Sadykhov R. 41. Samok S. (G) 7. Silva J. 99. Wadji I. 6. Yusifli F.
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Berdyev K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Zedadka A. 🟨,
15', Henrique ↓, Rzayev V. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Simic V. ⚽,
61', Ozobic F. 🟨,
62', Puchacz T. ↓, Seydiyev A. ↑,
62', Aliyev K. ↓, Mickels J. ↑,
67', Souza Alex ↓, Guseynov A. ↑,
67', Ozobic F. ↓, Sadykhov R. ↑,
79', Aliyev S. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
79', Hadzhiyev F. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
83', Parris K. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,
90+1', Mickels J. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 0, Safranko P. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 2.

Sabah has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sabah could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
14.09.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sabah - İmişli	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Shamakhi - Sabah	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Sabah - Levski Sofia	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Levski Sofia - Sabah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLL
- Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
13.09.25	Turan Tovuz - Gabala	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Turan Tovuz - Araz Naxçıvan	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	İmişli - Turan Tovuz	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Turan Tovuz - Kapaz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
12.04.25	Turan Tovuz - Sabah	2:1
09.02.25	Sabah - Turan Tovuz	2:1
Azerbaijan Cup
03.12.24	Turan Tovuz - Sabah	2:3 penalties
Azerbaijan Premier League
24.11.24	Turan Tovuz - Sabah	1:1
15.09.24	Sabah - Turan Tovuz	2:2
06.04.24	Turan Tovuz - Sabah	2:0
03.02.24	Sabah - Turan Tovuz	1:1

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