Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Shamakhi City Stadium (Shamakhi)

Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport, Idman TV


	Shamakhi		Sabah

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.58
	5.35	3.8	1.5	Watch
	5.3	4	1.51
	5.64	3.6	1.58	Watch
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	6.36	3.66	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (5.01)	3.68 ↑ (3.53)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamakhi
16.5%

Draw
24.6%

Sabah
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

25.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

24.7%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shamakhi - Sabah Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sabah will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 82. Abbasov R. 5. Agcabayov A. 11. Balau D. 4. Cezar 44. David Santos 17. Maharramli R. (C) 9. Rossi K. 27. Suleymanov E. 10. Tircoveanu A. 3. Veremeev V.	55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 5. Dashdamirov R. 13. Lepinjica I. 19. Malouda A. 99. Mbina O. 11. Parris K. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 2. Seydiyev A. (C) 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S.
Substitutes
7. Adilkhanov E. 88. Fernandes R. 14. Gafarov R. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 21. Ismayilov B. 80. Ismayilov H. 77. Mehraliyev N. 8. Msanga A. 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 19. Shuaibu A.	9. Aliyev K. 53. Andrey 83. Ende S. 20. Mickels J. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 89. Mukhtarov C. 17. Mutallimov T. 92. Pokatilov S. (G) 70. Sekidika J. 40. Ygor Nogueira
Coaches
Abbasov A.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Dashdamirov R. 🟨,
36', David Santos ↓, Msanga A. ↑,
37', 0 - 1, Solvet S. ⚽,
42', Puchacz T. ↓, Mutallimov T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Maharramli R. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
46', Tircoveanu A. ↓, Adilkhanov E. ↑,
51', Lepinjica I. 🟨,
66', Rossi K. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
73', Parris K. ↓, Sekidika J. ↑,
73', Mbina O. ↓, Aliyev K. ↑,
73', Malouda A. ↓, Mickels J. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Mickels J. ⚽,
80', Suleymanov E. ↓, Ismayilov B. ↑,
84', Lepinjica I. ↓, Mukhtarov C. ↑,
85', Mukhtarov C. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Rakhmonaliyev U. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 2.

Recent performances by Shamakhi have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sabah is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sabah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabah is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sabah Baku	5	5	0	0	14:1	13	15
6	Shamakhi	6	2	3	1	8:6	2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Sabah - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.38%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
26.04.26	Shamakhi - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Karvan - Shamakhi	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTTL
- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.04.26	Sabah - Karvan	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
22.04.26	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sabah - Zira	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
23.11.25	Sabah - Shamakhi	0:0
24.08.25	Shamakhi - Sabah	1:2
09.05.25	Sabah - Shamakhi	3:1
09.03.25	Shamakhi - Sabah	1:0
22.12.24	Shamakhi - Sabah	3:1
04.08.24	Sabah - Shamakhi	2:2
29.04.23	Sabah - Shamakhi	1:0

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