Match Info

Primera C - Round 11

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sacachispas		Centro Español

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.82	3.75
	2.03	2.78	3.84
	2.17	2.65	3.91	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.6
	2.04	2.77	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.64)	2.74 ↓ (2.95)	3.82 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
43.4%

Draw
32.9%

Centro Español
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

31%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacachispas's performance.

Centro Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Centro Español might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sacachispas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Centro Español than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Centro Español could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sacachispas - Centro Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, Gimenez W. ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Gallardo S. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Centro Español - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera C
04.05.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Sacachispas - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sacachispas - Deportivo Español	4:3 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Leandro N. Alem - Sacachispas	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWLW
- Centro Español
Argentinian Primera C
04.05.26	Centro Español - Argentino de Rosario	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Estrella del Sur - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Centro Español	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Centro Español - Berazategui	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Victoriano Arenas - Centro Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWTT

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