Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 19

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	SaiPa		Sanat Naft

	1	X	2
	2.84	2.75	2.70	Watch
	2.83	2.62	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 (2.84)	2.69 ↓ (2.75)	2.68 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
32.1%

Draw
33.9%

Sanat Naft
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

33.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

35.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sanat Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (-2%)

SaiPa - Sanat Naft Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - SaiPa (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 0.

SaiPa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sanat Naft is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, SaiPa has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sanat Naft has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Saipa	4	3	0	1	5:3	2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Sanat Naft - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.1%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa FC
Iran Division 1
20.01.26	Mes Kerman - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	SaiPa - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Palayesh Naft - SaiPa	2:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Havadar - SaiPa	2:3 penalties ✺
Iran Division 1
13.12.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW
- Sanat Naft
Iran Division 1
20.01.26	Sanat Naft - Damash Gilan	4:0 ✺
28.12.25	Sanat Naft - Niroye Zamini	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Mes Kerman - Sanat Naft	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Sanat Naft - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Sanat Naft - Palayesh Naft	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
03.09.25	Sanat Naft - SaiPa	0:0
23.01.25	Sanat Naft - SaiPa	2:1
09.09.24	SaiPa - Sanat Naft	0:0
Iran Pro League
25.06.21	Sanat Naft - SaiPa	1:0
29.12.20	SaiPa - Sanat Naft	1:1
28.02.20	SaiPa - Sanat Naft	1:2
04.10.19	Sanat Naft - SaiPa	1:0

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