Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	SaiPa		Navad Urmia

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.72	4.76	Watch
	1.73	2.75	5.5
	1.8	2.75	5.5
	1.78	2.71	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.93)	2.73 ↑ (2.66)	5.32 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SaiPa
49.8%

Draw
33.1%

Navad Urmia
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

34.2%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

32.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

SaiPa - Navad Urmia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Seifi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).

SaiPa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Navad Urmia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SaiPa has had a series of away games.

In this match, SaiPa is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Saipa	7	3	1	3	6:6	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa FC
Iran Division 1
27.12.25	Palayesh Naft - SaiPa	2:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Havadar - SaiPa	2:3 penalties ✺
Iran Division 1
13.12.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	SaiPa - Fard Alborz	0:0 ✺
27.11.25	Ario Eslamshahr - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTW
- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
26.12.25	Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Sanat Naft - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Navad Urmia - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:1
27.11.25	Palayesh Naft - Navad Urmia	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Navad Urmia - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLW

SaiPa - Navad Urmia