Match Info

Date: 5 April 2021, Monday


	SaiPa		Sepahan

	1	X	2
	4.6	2.75	1.88
	5.22	2.74	1.93
	5	2.8	1.85
	4.4	2.98	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.35)	2.82 ↓ (3.1)	1.9 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
19.1%

Draw
32.6%

Sepahan
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

29.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

22.4%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Sepahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sepahan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SaiPa - Sepahan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion to AFC Champions League (Qualification)).

SaiPa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sepahan is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Sepahan have a series of home games.

In this match Sepahan is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches SaiPa won 1 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-27.

Including matches at home between the teams SaiPa won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa FC
Iran Pro League
17.03.21	Nassaji Mazandaran - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
11.03.21	Nassaji Mazandaran - SaiPa	1:0 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
06.03.21	SaiPa - Naft Masjed Soleyman	0:0 ✺
01.03.21	Persepolis - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
14.02.21	SaiPa - Tractor Sazi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Sepahan FC
Iran Pro League
18.03.21	Sepahan - Tractor Sazi	2:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
12.03.21	Sepahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:1 ET ✺
Iran Pro League
06.03.21	Aluminium Arak - Sepahan	1:6 ✺
01.03.21	Sepahan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0 ✺
13.02.21	Sepahan - Esteghlal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
01.12.20	Sepahan - SaiPa	1:1
05.07.20	SaiPa - Sepahan	0:0
25.10.19	Sepahan - SaiPa	0:0
18.04.19	SaiPa - Sepahan	2:5
09.11.18	Sepahan - SaiPa	3:0
22.12.17	SaiPa - Sepahan	1:1
28.07.17	Sepahan - SaiPa	1:1

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