Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Vatani Stadium (Qa'em Shahr)


	Nassaji Mazandaran		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.86	5.51	Watch
	1.81	2.81	5.18	Watch
	1.95	2.73	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.1)	2.8 ↑ (2.64)	5.1 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nassaji Mazandaran
49.4%

Draw
32.7%

SaiPa
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

33.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

34.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nassaji Mazandaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nassaji Mazandaran's performance.

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SaiPa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nassaji Mazandaran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SaiPa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nassaji Mazandaran - SaiPa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nassaji (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Jafari F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Mohammadimehr F. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Nasiri A. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Nasiri A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nassaji won 3.

In recent matches, Nassaji has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SaiPa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Nassaji is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nassaji won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nassaji won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Saipa	4	3	0	1	5:3	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Division 1
15.02.26	Niroye Zamini - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Nassaji Mazandaran - Shahrdari Noshahr	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Sanat Naft - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Nassaji Mazandaran - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Palayesh Naft - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TWLLT
- SaiPa FC
Iran Division 1
16.02.26	SaiPa - Damash Gilan	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Niroye Zamini - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
02.02.26	SaiPa - Besat Kermanshah	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	SaiPa - Sanat Naft	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Mes Kerman - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Hazfi Cup
20.11.25	SaiPa - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0 penalties
Iran Division 1
30.09.25	SaiPa - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:2
Iran Pro League
17.03.21	Nassaji Mazandaran - SaiPa	1:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
11.03.21	Nassaji Mazandaran - SaiPa	1:0 penalties
Iran Pro League
25.11.20	SaiPa - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0
31.01.20	Nassaji Mazandaran - SaiPa	1:3
15.09.19	SaiPa - Nassaji Mazandaran	4:3

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