Match Info

Date: 30 March 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Saint George		Sebeta City

	1	X	2
	1.33	4	9
	1.25	4.5	11
	1.15	5.2	15
	1.23	4.06	10.12
	1.28	4.8	10.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.66)	4.51 ↑ (3.4)	11.07 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint George
72%

Draw
19.9%

Sebeta City
8.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint George's performance.

Sebeta City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebeta City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint George that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebeta City than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebeta City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Saint George - Sebeta City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification) and 16).

Saint George is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sebeta City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Saint George is certain favorite.

In this match Saint George is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint George won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Saint George won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.03.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Saint George	1:3 ✺
23.02.22	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
17.02.22	Saint George - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Wolkite Kenema - Saint George	0:4 ✺
03.02.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTTWW
- Sebeta City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
28.02.22	Arba Minch - Sebeta City	1:1 ✺
21.02.22	Sebeta City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
15.02.22	Sebeta City - Addis Ababa Ketema	1:5 ✺
09.02.22	Hadiya Hossana - Sebeta City	1:0 ✺
04.02.22	Fasil Kenema - Sebeta City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
20.10.21	Sebeta City - Saint George	0:0
07.04.21	Saint George - Sebeta City	0:0
28.12.20	Sebeta City - Saint George	2:4
13.03.20	Sebeta City - Saint George	1:0
10.12.19	Saint George - Sebeta City	1:0

Saint George - Sebeta City

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Saint George - Sebeta City Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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