Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday


	Saint George		Arba Minch

	1	X	2
	2	2.88	3.8
	2.12	2.83	3.85
	2.08	2.88	3.88	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.7
	2.04	2.89	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	3.8 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint George
44%

Draw
32.1%

Arba Minch
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

32%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint George that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Saint George - Arba Minch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Tsega K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 3.

In recent matches, Saint George has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arba Minch is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Saint George could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint George won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
26.11.25	Ethio Electric - Saint George	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Saint George - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George	1:3 ✺
03.11.25	Saint George - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWL
- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
27.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arba Minch - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Arba Minch - Adama City	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Ethio Electric - Arba Minch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
08.06.25	Arba Minch - Saint George	0:0
03.11.24	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:0
26.04.23	Arba Minch - Saint George	0:1
06.11.22	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:1
27.06.22	Arba Minch - Saint George	0:1
23.02.22	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:1
30.04.18	Arba Minch - Saint George	3:0

Saint George - Arba Minch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide