Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Saint-Étienne		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.38	4.75	7.75
	1.41	4.4	6.4	Watch
	1.35	5.25	9.66
	1.38	4.64	8.12	Watch
	1.32	5.2	9
	1.32	5.05	9.03	Watch
	1.32	4.9	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)	4.87 ↑ (4.69)	8.38 ↑ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
69.6%

Draw
19.2%

Grenoble
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.8%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Saint Étienne - Grenoble Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (G) 23. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. (C) 18. Nair S. 6. Bernauer M. 16. Svetlin T. 14. Csongvai A. 20. Boakye A. 10. Breum J. 8. Ballo T. 7. Cardona I.	1. Olliero A. (G) 19. Zahui N. 5. Vidal C. 33. Sarikaya E. 27. Xantippe M. 6. Magnin Y. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 10. Mouazan B. 14. Corboz M. (C) 7. Diaby Y. 47. Fofana K.
Substitutes
32. Baallal A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 17. Duffus J. 37. Kasia N. 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 35. Sissoko M. 9. Stassin L. 2. Stojkovic S.	16. Allain B. (G) 8. Bernadou L. 12. Bonnet U. 17. Cerri L. 30. Diba S. 23. Hoogewerf D. 26. Mion M. 46. Mouton J. 48. Niakate S.
Coaches
Cathro I.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', Mouazan B. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Csongvai A. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Ballo T. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
27', Breum J. ↓, Davitashvili Z. ↑,
35', Corboz M. ↓, Diba S. ↑,
45+1', Vidal C. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 0, Cardona I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Bernauer M. 🟨,
58', Mouazan B. ↓, Bernadou L. ↑,
58', Diaby Y. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
62', Ballo T. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
63', Cardona I. ↓, Stassin L. ↑,
76', Diba S. 🟨,
79', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Hoogewerf D. ↑,
79', Magnin Y. ↓, Mouton J. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Boakye A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2.

Saint-Étienne is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Grenoble has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Saint-Étienne is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Eymard P. (Foot Injury) Jaber M. (Surgery) Lamba C. (Injury) Old B. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Grenoble: Djitte M. (Inactive) N'Gatta A. L. (Injury) Pelon A. (Inactive) Ze Leite (Inactive)

We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34% Grenoble: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
14.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Venezia	4:3 ✺
29.07.26	Saint-Étienne - Lausanne-Sport	4:0 ✺
22.07.26	Glasgow Rangers - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
14.08.26	Grenoble - Metz	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Dunkerque - Grenoble	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Clermont - Grenoble	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Sochaux - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Grenoble - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.03.26	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:0
30.08.25	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	1:1
23.04.24	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:2
05.08.23	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	0:1
17.04.23	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:2
Club Friendly
09.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	3:1
French Ligue 2
01.10.22	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	2:2

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