Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2023, Friday

Location: Sakarya Atatürk Stadi (Adapazari)

Referee: Mehmet O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sakaryaspor		Altınordu

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4
	1.7	3.55	4.1
	1.85	3.4	3.65
	1.88	3.5	4.36
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.94	3.5	3.78
	1.86	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.6)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	3.9 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
49.8%

Draw
26.7%

Altınordu
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.5%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sakaryaspor's form might have worsened.

Altınordu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Altınordu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sakaryaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altınordu than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altınordu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Sakaryaspor - Altınordu Predictions

Users Predictions: Sakaryaspor will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Sakaryaspor is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Altınordu is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Altınordu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sakaryaspor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
14.01.23	Göztepe - Sakaryaspor	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.23	Sakaryaspor - Ujpest	1:1 ✺
Turkish First League
17.12.22	Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
12.12.22	Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor	3:1 ✺
03.12.22	Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWLW
- Altınordu
Turkish First League
15.01.23	Altınordu - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Altınordu - Çaykur Rizespor	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Erzurumspor - Altınordu	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Altınordu - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
03.12.22	Bandırmaspor - Altınordu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
20.08.22	Altınordu - Sakaryaspor	0:2

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