Match Info
Turkish Cup - Qualification - FinalDate: 2 December 2025, TuesdayLocation: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sakaryaspor |
|
Gençlerbirliği |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.75 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.68 |
4.25 |
3.45 |
|
 |
1.78 |
3.91 |
4.18 |
|
 |
1.63 |
4.06 |
4.41 |
Watch |
 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
4 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.88 |
4.28 |
Watch |
 |
1.73 |
3.8 |
4 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (2.3) |
3.89 ↑ (3.5) |
4.03 ↑ (2.53) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sakaryaspor 53.7% | Draw 23.5% | Gençlerbirliği 22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gençlerbirliği might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-16.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gençlerbirliği could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 20 - 83.3%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakaryaspor: 68.4% – 98.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Gençlerbirliği (2.35) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH 0 - Gençlerbirliği (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Sakaryaspor (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75, 1st Half - Sakaryaspor (3.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sakaryaspor will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 14 - 70%). Gençlerbirliği (votes: 6 - 30%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Koita S. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 5)
- 69', 0 - 1, Mimaroglu M. (Pen),
- 75', 0 - 2, Demir D. ⚽,
- 83', 0 - 3, Demir D. ⚽,
- 87', 0 - 4, Onur S. ⚽,
- 90+3', 0 - 5, Osmanoglu S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 0.Sakaryaspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Gençlerbirliği has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Gençlerbirliği may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Turkish First League | | | 04.05.25 | Gençlerbirliği - Sakaryaspor | 1:0 | | 06.01.25 | Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği | 0:0 | | 21.01.24 | Gençlerbirliği - Sakaryaspor | 3:1 | | 20.08.23 | Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği | 0:0 | | 16.05.23 | Gençlerbirliği - Sakaryaspor | 2:1 | | 17.12.22 | Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği | 2:1 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;