Match Info

1. Lig - Round 26

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Gultekin O. F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sakaryaspor		Pendikspor

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3	3.19	2.24	Watch
	3.18	3.3	2.31
	3.24	3.47	2.12	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	3	3.34	2.3	Watch
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.72)	3.29 ↓ (3.53)	2.23 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
30.4%

Draw
28.1%

Pendikspor
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

21.8%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pendikspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Pendikspor aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	8.3%	66.7%

Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Pendikspor will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pendikspor: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pendikspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sakaryaspor (1.59) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Pendikspor (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 86. Bekaroglu B. (C) 43. Kocaman A. 7. Demir M. 44. Vukovic J. 85. Fofana M. 2. Ruan Teixeira 10. Pena S. 27. Owusu 99. Yildirim P.	1. Dilmen D. (G) 88. Fidan Y. 70. Kitsiou S. 4. Soldo V. 6. Sequeira 41. Ozdemir M. (C) 10. Wilks M. 60. Karadeniz B. 8. Denic D. 14. Yesil H. 9. Clarke-Harris J.
Substitutes
91. Bostan M. 4. Cakir B. 8. Cihan M. 1. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 24. Dursun S. 88. Erkin C. 17. Karatas H. 16. Sen K. 19. Soro I. 3. Terzi E.	18. Akman H. 17. Karademir A. 30. Koyuncu E. (G) 37. Ogulcan A. 28. Pekdemir E. 20. Safin E. 5. Sulungoz B. 81. Tekdal T. 77. Ugur A. 97. Yuvakuran U. (G)
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Ucar U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
21', Sequeira 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fofana M. ↓, Soro I. ↑,
49', Ozdemir M. 🟨,
58', Yildirim P. ↓, Bostan M. ↑,
58', Owusu ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
66', Pena S. 🟨,
73', Sequeira ↓, Karademir A. ↑,
74', Pena S. ↓, Cihan M. ↑,
80', Clarke-Harris J. 🟨,
80', Ruan Teixeira ↓, Karatas H. ↑,
84', Terzi E. 🟨,
84', Kutlu H. 🟨,
85', Vukovic J. 🟨,
86', 0 - 1, Clarke-Harris J. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Kitsiou S. ↓, Ugur A. ↑,
89', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Sulungoz B. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 2, Wilks M. ⚽, Karadeniz B. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 2.

Sakaryaspor is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pendikspor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pendikspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B. (Inactive) Cicek E. (Suspended) Dogan F. (Yellow Cards) Isen B. (Suspended) Rogerio Thuram (Yellow Cards)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
15.02.26	Amed SK - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Boluspor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLLL
- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
15.02.26	Pendikspor - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Pendikspor - Amed SK	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Sivasspor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Pendikspor - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Bandırmaspor - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.09.25	Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1
13.04.25	Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor	1:0
08.12.24	Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor	3:0
07.05.23	Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor	3:2
12.12.22	Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor	3:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
01.04.21	Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor	0:0
29.11.20	Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor	0:2

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