Match Info

1. Lig - Round 21

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır)

Referee: Avci I. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Igdirspor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.25	Watch
	1.46	4.31	5.69
	1.55	4.47	4.98	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.47	4.2	5.53
	1.5	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)	4.28 ↓ (4.79)	5.24 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igdirspor
61.2%

Draw
21.4%

Sakaryaspor
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

19.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

18.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Igdirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Tepe T. (G) 58. Kaya G. 35. Cankaya A. R. 3. Tsunami 77. Vural G. 6. Guctekin O. K. 20. Mendes R. 21. Erdogan D. 8. Bacuna L. 7. Fofana M. 4. Selvi A.	29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 26. Kolovetsios D. 24. Dursun S. 4. Cakir B. 88. Erkin C. 25. Demir A. 8. Cihan M. 10. Kakuta G. 7. Demir M. 9. Zwolinski L.
Substitutes
61. Asan S. 26. Bolat S. (G) 19. Conte A. 17. Engin A. 23. Guneren A. K. 36. Ozcan O. 5. Ozturk A. 11. Rotariu D. 27. Suarez A. 66. Yasar A.	11. Akuazaoku U. 28. Coban O. 14. Demir E. 96. Kobiljar R. 80. Kutuk S. 93. Tantan Y. (G) 94. Tuzcu D.
Coaches
Uzulmez I.	Kutlu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Kaya G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tsunami ↓, Ozcan O. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Bacuna L. ⚽, Vural G. (A),
58', Cihan M. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
58', Demir A. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
70', Kolovetsios D. 🟨,
72', Cakir B. 🟨,
81', Demir M. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
85', Fofana M. ↓, Conte A. ↑,
89', Vural G. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Igdirspor is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Igdirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Igdir FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igdirspor
Turkish Cup
15.01.26	Eyüpspor - Igdirspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish First League
11.01.26	Sarıyer - Igdirspor	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Amed SK - Igdirspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Igdirspor - Aliaga	2:2 ✺
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Igdirspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
10.01.26	Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Çorum - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
15.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Erokspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.08.25	Sakaryaspor - Igdirspor	3:2
21.04.25	Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor	4:0
14.12.24	Sakaryaspor - Igdirspor	2:1

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