Match Info

Date: 21 October 2021, Thursday


	Sakhalin		Kaluga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	2.6	3.65	2.15
	2.8	3.6	2.01
	2.76	4.08	1.98
	3.13	3.22	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.44)	3.63 ↑ (3.23)	2.09 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakhalin
32.1%

Draw
24.8%

Kaluga
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

27.7%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

18.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakhalin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakhalin's performance.

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakhalin than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sakhalin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaluga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sakhalin - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kaluga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sakhalin have a series of home games.

Kaluga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sakhalin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sakhalin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sakhalin
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
18.10.21	Sakhalin - Dynamo Bryansk	1:1 ✺
12.10.21	Sakhalin - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:2 ✺
09.10.21	Sakhalin - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	Sakhalin - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Sakhalin - Dynamo Vladivostok	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLWL
- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
19.10.21	Dynamo Vladivostok - Kaluga	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod	2:3 ✺
04.10.21	Dynamo Bryansk - Kaluga	2:0 ✺
30.09.21	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
26.09.21	Kaluga - Zenit Penza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
21.08.21	Kaluga - Sakhalin	1:1
15.05.21	Sakhalin - Kaluga	1:1
12.09.20	Kaluga - Sakhalin	3:1

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