Match Info

Date: 10 November 2021, Wednesday


	Sakhalin		Salyut Belgorod

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.6
	5.3	3.75	1.52
	5	3.55	1.54
	6.07	3.42	1.53
	5.8	3.5	1.53
	6.1	3.82	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (4.35)	3.57 ↑ (3.19)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakhalin
16.2%

Draw
25.2%

Salyut Belgorod
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

28%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

22.5%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakhalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Salyut Belgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salyut Belgorod's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakhalin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salyut Belgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sakhalin - Salyut Belgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion).

Sakhalin has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Salyut is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salyut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Salyut is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sakhalin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sakhalin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sakhalin
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
06.11.21	Dynamo Vladivostok - Sakhalin	4:0 ✺
03.11.21	Sokol Saratov - Sakhalin	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Zenit Penza - Sakhalin	3:0 ✺
21.10.21	Sakhalin - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
18.10.21	Sakhalin - Dynamo Bryansk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLT
- Salyut Belgorod
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.11.21	Salyut Belgorod - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Avangard Kursk - Salyut Belgorod	1:0 ✺
19.10.21	Salyut Belgorod - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1 ✺
14.10.21	Dynamo Bryansk - Salyut Belgorod	3:0 ✺
10.10.21	Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
11.09.21	Salyut Belgorod - Sakhalin	0:2
18.04.21	Salyut Belgorod - Sakhalin	2:1
04.10.20	Sakhalin - Salyut Belgorod	0:2

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