Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 29

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Sakhalin		Zenit Penza

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.52	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.37)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)	4.22 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakhalin
52.6%

Draw
25.8%

Zenit Penza
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

29.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakhalin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakhalin's performance.

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zenit Penza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakhalin than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakhalin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zenit Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sakhalin - Zenit Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Eruslanov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sakhalin
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
20.10.24	Sakhalin - Spartak Tambov	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Sakhalin	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Khimki 2 - Sakhalin	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Dynamo Vladivostok - Sakhalin	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Strogino Moskva - Sakhalin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLLL
- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
20.10.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Zenit Penza	5:1 ✺
22.09.24	Zenit Penza - Khimki 2	3:2 ✺
15.09.24	Dynamo Vladivostok - Zenit Penza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
07.07.24	Zenit Penza - Sakhalin	0:1
23.09.23	Zenit Penza - Sakhalin	1:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.05.23	Sakhalin - Zenit Penza	1:1
31.10.21	Zenit Penza - Sakhalin	3:0
02.09.21	Sakhalin - Zenit Penza	0:1

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