Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 20

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Zenit Penza		Spartak Tambov

	1	X	2
	8.61	4.86	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.61 ↑ (8.3)	4.86 ↑ (4.5)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Penza
10.8%

Draw
19.1%

Spartak Tambov
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

20.4%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

19.4%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Spartak Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Tambov than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, Skripnikov D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 0.

Zenit Penza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spartak Tambov is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zenit Penza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Spartak Tambov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Spartak Tambov is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit Penza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Spartak Tambov	26	20	3	3	47:14	33	63
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Zenit Penza - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
29.07.26	SKA Rostov - Zenit Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.07.26	Rotor 2 - Zenit Penza	0:1 ✺
01.07.26	Zenit Penza - Salyut Belgorod	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Spartak Tambov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Spartak Tambov - SKA Rostov	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Strogino Moskva	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Spartak Tambov - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Spartak Tambov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
02.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	2:0
27.09.25	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	1:0
07.06.25	Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov	0:0
06.10.24	Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov	0:1
17.09.23	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
28.05.23	Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov	2:4
29.04.23	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	3:0

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