The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saku Sporting 68.2%
Draw 15.6%
Harju JK Laagri 16.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.2%
20.6%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
18.6%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saku Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saku Sporting's performance.
Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harju JK Laagri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saku Sporting than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saku Sporting that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harju JK Laagri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (5 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, ⚽,
82', 4 - 1, ⚽,
89', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Saku Sporting has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Harju has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, Saku Sporting enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Saku Sporting has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saku Sporting against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 3:1.5 per game).
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