Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday


	Salam Zgharta		Al-Safa Beyrut

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	3.7	3.05	1.88
	3.76	3.14	2.05
	3.68	3.13	1.97	Watch
	3.8	3.15	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (4.27)	3.11 ↓ (3.21)	1.95 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salam Zgharta
24.4%

Draw
29.1%

Al-Safa Beyrut
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

27.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

27.8%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salam Zgharta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Al-Safa Beyrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salam Zgharta than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

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Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Al-Safa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Salam Zgharta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Salam Zgharta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salam Zgharta
Lebanese Premier League
15.01.23	Tripoli - Salam Zgharta	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Salam Zgharta	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Tadamon Sour - Salam Zgharta	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Salam Zgharta - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTTT
- Al-Safa Beyrut
Lebanese Premier League
15.01.23	Hekmeh - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tripoli	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tripoli	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
04.12.22	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:0
31.03.18	Al-Safa Beyrut - Salam Zgharta	1:0

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