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Current Win Probability
Salernitana 57.4%
Draw 25.5%
Trapani 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
25.8%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26.3%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salernitana's performance.
Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trapani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salernitana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trapani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Salernitana - Trapani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma A. (G) 26. Matino E. 18. Golemic V. 33. Anastasio A. 14. Villa L. 6. de Boer K. 5. Capomaggio G. 29. Tascone M. 28. Longobardi G. 20. Ferraris A. 9. Inglese R.
12. Galeotti C. (G) 3. Giron M. 34. Negro S. 23. Motoc A. 99. Ciotti P. 74. Marcolini D. 20. Carriero G. 8. Celeghin E. 10. Canotto L. 11. Ciuferri F. 39. Grandolfo F.
Substitutes
7. Achik I. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 21. Coppolaro M. 45. Di Vico R. 10. Ferrari F. 39. Iervolino A. 17. Knezovic B. 11. Liguori M. 24. Quirini E. 27. Ubani M. 8. Varone I.
33. Benedetti A. 26. Kirwan N. 17. La Sorsa C. 30. Nicoli S. 31. Pirrello R. 27. Podrini F. 13. Salines E. 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 9. Vazquez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Grandolfo F. ⚽,
32', Carriero G. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Anastasio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Canotto L. ↓, Benedetti A. ↑,
56', Carriero G. ↓, Podrini F. ↑,
64', Ferraris A. ↓, Ferrari F. ↑,
68', Celeghin E. 🟨,
71', Longobardi G. ↓, Achik I. ↑,
77', Ciuferri F. ↓, La Sorsa C. ↑,
77', Grandolfo F. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
82', de Boer K. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
82', Inglese R. ↓, Knezovic B. ↑,
82', Tascone M. ↓, Quirini E. ↑,
84', Negro S. ↓, Pirrello R. ↑,
88', Achik I. 🟨,
90+9', Liguori M. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 3.
Recent performances by Salernitana have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Trapani is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Salernitana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Salernitana is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Salernitana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Italy
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Donnarumma A. (G) 
Golemic V. 
de Boer K. 
Capomaggio G. 
Giron M. 
Motoc A. 
Achik I. 
Knezovic B. 
Ubani M. 
Kirwan N. 
Ujkaj E. (G) 
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