Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Trapani		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.75	5.7
	1.46	4.06	6.90	Watch
	1.54	3.54	5.89	Watch
	1.57	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)	3.74 ↓ (4.06)	6.12 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
60.3%

Draw
24.7%

Foggia
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22.9%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.9%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trapani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Trapani - Foggia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 99. Ciotti P. 34. Negro S. 31. Pirrello R. 3. Giron M. 27. Podrini F. 47. Di Noia G. 74. Marcolini D. 11. Ciuferri F. 21. Fischnaller M. 39. Grandolfo F.	1. Perucchini F. (G) 23. Morelli G. 6. Minelli A. 20. Buttaro A. 77. Olivieri E. 8. Garofalo V. 54. Pellegrino G. 18. Oliva M. 92. Winkelmann T. 17. Sylla Y. 10. Ilicic M.
Substitutes
33. Benedetti A. 10. Canotto L. 20. Carriero G. 8. Celeghin E. 17. La Sorsa C. 7. Moie K. 23. Motoc A. 37. Palmieri R. 22. Salamone S. (G) 13. Salines E. 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 9. Vazquez F.	26. Agnelli G. 9. Bevilacqua M. 27. Borbei A. (G) 19. Byar N. 40. Castaldi G. 3. Felicioli G. 11. Fossati D. 22. Magro F. (G) 14. Panico C. 47. Pazienza O. 25. Staver C. 24. Valietti F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Giron M. ⚽,
5', Morelli G. 🟨,
9', 2 - 0, Fischnaller M. ⚽,
29', Sylla Y. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Minelli A. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Grandolfo F. ⚽,
42', Ciotti P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pellegrino G. ↓, Pazienza O. ↑,
56', Morelli G. ↓, Valietti F. ↑,
56', Ilicic M. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
60', Pazienza O. 🟨,
60', Podrini F. ↓, Celeghin E. ↑,
61', Fischnaller M. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
72', Sylla Y. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
79', Grandolfo F. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
79', Canotto L. ↓, La Sorsa C. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In recent matches, Trapani has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Foggia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Trapani is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Trapani won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
16.11.25	Potenza - Trapani	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Trapani - Picerno	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Crotone - Trapani	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Sorrento - Trapani	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Trapani - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLW
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
17.11.25	Foggia - Cavese	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Foggia - Benevento	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Potenza - Foggia	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Crotone - Foggia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
24.10.25	Foggia - Altamura	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.12.24	Trapani - Foggia	0:0
26.08.24	Foggia - Trapani	2:2

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