Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 16

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
World	Onefootball


	Benevento		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.98
	2.33	3.2	3.15
	2.00	3.31	3.65	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.26	3	3.07	Watch
	2.33	3	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2)	3.09 ↓ (3.31)	3.17 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
41%

Draw
29.9%

Salernitana
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

28.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benevento's form might have worsened.

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	22.7%	0%

Benevento - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Benevento (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benevento will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 4. Prisco A. 8. Maita M. 11. Lamesta D. 99. Della Morte M. 10. Manconi J. 93. Tumminello M.	1. Donnarumma A. (G) 26. Matino E. 18. Golemic V. 38. Frascatore P. 21. Coppolaro M. 6. de Boer K. 5. Capomaggio G. 14. Villa L. 11. Liguori M. 20. Ferraris A. 10. Ferrari F.
Substitutes
29. Cantisani R. 7. Carfora L. 42. D'Alessio L. (G) 22. Esposito M. (G) 5. Mehic D. 32. Mignani G. 31. Ricci G. 25. Romano R. 18. Simonetti P. 38. Talia A. 37. Tsingaras A. 6. Viscardi A.	7. Achik I. 33. Anastasio A. 70. Boncori L. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 45. Di Vico R. 39. Iervolino A. 9. Inglese R. 17. Knezovic B. 24. Quirini E. 27. Ubani M. 8. Varone I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Pierozzi E. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Capomaggio G. ⚽,
38', Manconi J. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Tumminello M. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 1, Capomaggio G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 4 - 1, Tumminello M. ⚽,
58', Frascatore P. ↓, Anastasio A. ↑,
59', Liguori M. ↓, Inglese R. ↑,
59', Coppolaro M. ↓, Varone I. ↑,
63', 5 - 1, Lamesta D. ⚽,
64', Matino E. ↓, Ubani M. ↑,
65', Lamesta D. ↓, Simonetti P. ↑,
65', Della Morte M. ↓, Ricci G. ↑,
69', Ferrari F. 🟨,
73', Pierozzi E. ↓, Romano R. ↑,
77', Tumminello M. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
77', Ceresoli A. ↓, Viscardi A. ↑,
81', Ferrari F. ↓, Achik I. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 3.

Benevento has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salernitana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Benevento could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Benevento won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Benevento - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.46%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
23.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Benevento	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Benevento - Monopoli	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Foggia - Benevento	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Benevento - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Giugliano - Benevento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWTL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
23.11.25	Salernitana - Potenza	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Altamura - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Salernitana - Crotone	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Latina - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Salernitana - Casertana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.02.20	Benevento - Salernitana	1:1
16.09.19	Salernitana - Benevento	0:2
08.02.19	Salernitana - Benevento	0:1
21.09.18	Benevento - Salernitana	4:0
05.03.17	Benevento - Salernitana	1:1
09.10.16	Salernitana - Benevento	2:1
Coppa Italia
07.08.16	Benevento - Salernitana	0:1 penalties

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