Match Info

SA State League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Salisbury United		Sturt Lions

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.68
	4.2	4.01	1.67
	4.47	3.88	1.67	Watch
	4.15	4.1	1.63
	4.2	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (4.59)	4 ↓ (4.33)	1.64 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury United
21.8%

Draw
22.7%

Sturt Lions
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

21%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury United than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Salisbury United - Sturt Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Salisbury United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sturt Lions is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sturt Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sturt Lions is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salisbury United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury United
Australian SA State League
23.08.25	Salisbury United - Adelaide Blue Eagles	2:1 penalties ✺
16.08.25	Sturt Lions - Salisbury United	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Salisbury United - Adelaide Cobras	3:3 ✺
02.08.25	Pontian Eagles - Salisbury United	0:4 ✺
26.07.25	Salisbury United - Fulham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTWL
- Sturt Lions
Australian SA State League
16.08.25	Sturt Lions - Salisbury United	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Sturt Lions	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Vipers	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Adelaide Olympic - Sturt Lions	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Sturt Lions - Cumberland United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
16.08.25	Sturt Lions - Salisbury United	4:0
24.05.25	Salisbury United - Sturt Lions	1:3
27.07.24	Salisbury United - Sturt Lions	1:2
04.05.24	Sturt Lions - Salisbury United	2:1

Salisbury United - Sturt Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide