The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salon Palloilijat 41.8%
Draw 24.3%
Tampere United 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
25.1%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
25.2%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salon Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Tampere United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampere United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Salon Palloilijat - Tampere United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Rintamaki O. (G) 4. Dementjeff T. 20. Jakonen O. 19. Jokiniemi N. 22. Kadowaki S. 18. Kauko J. 24. Miyazaki Y. 6. Ndakala J. (C) 7. Rrustemi E. 28. Seidu S. 17. Yao K.
25. Pakkanen S. (G) 19. Bradbury L. 6. Hasa N. 30. Heikkinen J. 29. Huhta K. 4. Kovaqi A. 5. Laitinen J. 28. Malinen J. 10. Ozcelik T. 15. Rantala J. (C) 22. Vaisanen R.
Substitutes
15. Heikkila J. 8. Jakonen O. 1. Koski J. (G) 13. Kostian J. 9. Lulli M. 23. Ruponen R. 27. Traore D. 10. Voca G.
2. Alapera J. 21. Enbuska J. 1. Immonen J. (G) 17. Kesti L. 23. Kyllonen L. 8. Lehtonen R. 11. Rantanen J. 16. Riihilahti K. 18. Torniainen O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Bradbury L. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Jokiniemi N. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Rantala J. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 2)
51', Yao K. 🟨,
51', Rantala J. 🟨,
53', Rantala J. ↓, Kyllonen L. ↑,
56', Jokiniemi N. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Miyazaki Y. ⚽,
58', Pakkanen S. 🟨,
65', 3 - 2, Rrustemi E. ⚽,
66', Huhta K. ↓, Torniainen O. ↑,
66', Hasa N. ↓, Enbuska J. ↑,
69', 4 - 2, Rrustemi E. ⚽,
75', Heikkinen J. ↓, Riihilahti K. ↑,
75', Bradbury L. ↓, Rantanen J. ↑,
77', Rrustemi E. ↓, Lulli M. ↑,
80', Seidu S. ↓, Jakonen O. ↑,
82', 4 - 3, Kyllonen L. ⚽,
83', 5 - 3, Jakonen O. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
89', Kauko J. ↓, Kostian J. ↑,
90+2', 6 - 3, Miyazaki Y. ⚽,
90+5', 6 - 4, Laitinen J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SalPa won 4.
SalPa has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Tampere United have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, SalPa has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 21:5 (averaging 2.3:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SalPa against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 15:1 goals (averaging 3:0.2 per game).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Tampere Utd
25
15
5
5
58:26
32
50
3
SalPa
25
12
6
7
52:45
7
42
Last Results with these Odds
Tampere United - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.41%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.