Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 13

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Salsomaggiore		Aglianese

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.05
	3.15	3.6	1.93
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	3.28	3.45	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.54)	3.46 ↑ (3.21)	2.04 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salsomaggiore
29.7%

Draw
26%

Aglianese
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salsomaggiore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salsomaggiore's form might have worsened.

Aglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aglianese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salsomaggiore than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salsomaggiore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aglianese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Salsomaggiore - Aglianese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Salsomaggiore will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Aglianese will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Salsomaggiore has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aglianese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aglianese will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salsomaggiore Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.11.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Salsomaggiore	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Salsomaggiore - Pistoiese	2:4 ✺
23.10.22	Lentigione - Salsomaggiore	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Salsomaggiore - United Riccione	1:3 ✺
09.10.22	Mezzolara - Salsomaggiore	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.11.22	Pistoiese - Aglianese	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Aglianese - Scandicci	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Correggese - Aglianese	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Aglianese - Sammaurese	0:3 ✺
09.10.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Aglianese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTLW

Salsomaggiore - Aglianese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide