Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Salvador		Ecuador

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.72
	4.8	3.8	1.66
	5.25	3.8	1.55
	4.9	3.7	1.66
	5.29	3.92	1.65
	5	3.7	1.66
	5.1	3.96	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.21)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)	1.65 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salvador
18.9%

Draw
24.7%

Ecuador
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

25.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

20.7%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ecuador than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ecuador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salvador - Ecuador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

El Salvador has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ecuador is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ecuador is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches El Salvador won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvador
FIFA World Cup
16.11.21	Panama - Salvador	2:1 ✺
12.11.21	Salvador - Jamaica	1:1 ✺
Friendly
05.11.21	Salvador - Bolivia	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.10.21	Salvador - Mexico	0:2 ✺
10.10.21	Costa Rica - Salvador	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
16.11.21	Chile - Ecuador	0:2 ✺
11.11.21	Ecuador - Venezuela	1:0 ✺
Friendly
27.10.21	Mexico - Ecuador	2:3 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.21	Colombia - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Venezuela - Ecuador	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
13.06.17	Ecuador - Salvador	3:0
14.10.14	Salvador - Ecuador	1:5
21.03.13	Ecuador - Salvador	5:0

Salvador - Ecuador: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide