Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 14

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1
Australia	SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 3, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	VG+
Peru	Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	DSports 1, Meridiano, Simple Plus
World	Disney+


	Chile		Ecuador

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.8	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.8
	2.9	2.9	2.75
	2.88	2.94	2.75	Watch
	2.95	3.08	2.85	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.67)	2.96 ↓ (3.33)	2.78 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chile
33.5%

Draw
32.2%

Ecuador
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	46.4%	17.9%

Chile - Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Chile will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Ecuador will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cortes B. (G) Colo Colo 14. Loyola F. Independiente 3. Maripan G. Torino 5. Diaz P. River Plate 17. Suazo G. Toulouse 8. Vidal A. (C) Colo Colo 18. Echeverria R. Club Leon 16. Osorio D. Midtjylland 15. Valdes D. Club America 6. Pizarro V. Colo Colo 11. Eduardo Vargas Club Nacional	1. Galindez H. (G) Huracan 4. Ordonez J. Club Brugge 6. Pacho W. PSG 3. Hincapie P. Bayer Leverkusen 7. Estupinan P. Brighton 23. Caicedo M. (C) Chelsea 21. Franco A. Atletico-MG 15. Vite P. Vancouver Whitecaps 19. Plata G. Flamengo RJ 13. Valencia E. Internacional 17. Guagua D. Independiente del Valle
Substitutes
20. Aranguiz C. U. De Chile 9. Aravena A. Gremio 10. Cabral L. Independiente 1. Castellon G. (G) U. De Chile 7. Escobar D. U. Catolica 21. Fernandez N. U. De Chile 4. Kuscevic B. Fortaleza 13. Pavez E. Colo Colo 19. Sierralta F. Watford 12. Vigouroux L. (G) Swansea 2. Wiemberg E. Colo Colo 22. Zampedri F. U. Catolica	11. Arroyo K. Besiktas 22. Cabezas D. (G) EL Nacional 8. Castillo D. Midtjylland 18. Corozo J. Barcelona SC 14. Medina Y. Genk 20. Mendez J. Independiente del Valle 16. Mercado J. AFS 9. Mercado P. Independiente del Valle 10. Paez K. Independiente del Valle 5. Ramirez C. Ferencvaros 12. Ramirez M. (G) Independiente del Valle 2. Torres F. Corinthians
Coaches
Gareca R.	Beccacece S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Guagua D. ↓, Corozo J. ↑,
65', Vidal A. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
76', Pizarro V. ↓, Aranguiz C. ↑,
76', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Zampedri F. ↑,
77', Echeverria R. ↓, Pavez E. ↑,
81', Estupinan P. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
84', Loyola F. 🟨,
85', Plata G. 🟨,
90+5', Ordonez J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chile won 2.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chile won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chile
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Paraguay - Chile	1:0 ✺
Friendly
08.02.25	Chile - Panama	6:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
19.11.24	Chile - Venezuela	4:2 ✺
15.11.24	Peru - Chile	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Colombia - Chile	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWTL
- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Ecuador - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Colombia - Ecuador	0:1 ✺
14.11.24	Ecuador - Bolivia	4:0 ✺
15.10.24	Uruguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
10.10.24	Ecuador - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Ecuador - Chile	1:0
16.11.21	Chile - Ecuador	0:2
05.09.21	Ecuador - Chile	0:0
Copa America
21.06.19	Ecuador - Chile	1:2
FIFA World Cup
05.10.17	Chile - Ecuador	2:1
06.10.16	Ecuador - Chile	3:0
Copa America
11.06.15	Chile - Ecuador	2:0

Chile - Ecuador: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide