Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	SamWest Blackboots		MCF

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.18	3.38
				Watch
	2.09	3.1	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.21)	3.14 ↑ (3.02)	3.38 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SamWest Blackboots
44.2%

Draw
28.9%

MCF
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

29%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SamWest Blackboots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

MCF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SamWest Blackboots than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

SamWest could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.

SamWest will have a small advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, SamWest won 0 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SamWest Blackboots
Kenyan Super League
26.04.25	Kisumu All-Stars - SamWest Blackboots	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	Vihiga United - SamWest Blackboots	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	SamWest Blackboots - Mombasa Elite	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	SamWest Blackboots - Kibera Black Stars	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	SamWest Blackboots - Luanda Villa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTLT
- MCF FC
Kenyan Super League
26.04.25	MCF - Mombasa Elite	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Nairobi United - MCF	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	MCF - Nzoia United	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Vihiga United - MCF	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	MCF - Kisumu All-Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
12.01.25	MCF - SamWest Blackboots	1:1

SamWest Blackboots - MCF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide