Match Info
Brasiliense - Round 6Date: 7 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Venue Estadio Elmo Serejo Farias (Taguatinga)
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 |
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 |
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Samambaia |
|
Brasília |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.18 |
4.95 |
16.5 |
|
 |
1.27 |
4.43 |
11.06 |
|
 |
1.19 |
5.01 |
18.73 |
 Watch |
 |
1.22 |
4.5 |
15 |
|
 |
1.37 |
4.15 |
10.4 |
|
 |
1.16 |
4.75 |
26 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.84) |
4.63 ↑
(3.4) |
16.28 ↑
(3.9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Samambaia
74.5% | Draw
19.8% | Brasília
5.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samambaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samambaia's performance.Brasília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasília might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samambaia than the current prediction. (-23.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samambaia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (+17.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasília could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Samambaia - Brasília Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Victor Xavier ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 0, Victor Xavier ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 3 - 0, Matheus ⚽,
- 69', 3 - 1, Lima V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', 4 - 1, Victor Xavier (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).In recent matches, Samambaia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Brasília is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Samambaia is the undisputed favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samambaia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.Including home match between the teams, Samambaia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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