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Current Win Probability
Sambenedettese 63.5%
Draw 22.8%
Castelfidardo 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.3%
21.3%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
20.6%
11%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Castelfidardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sambenedettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Sambenedettese - Castelfidardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Braconi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Moretti F. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).
Sambenedettese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Castelfidardo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Sambenedettese is the unquestionable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Sambenedettese to win the game is with odds 1.42.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
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