Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 18

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)


	Sambenedettese		Atletico Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.49	3.9	5.8
				Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.45	3.88	6.6
	1.49	3.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.33)	3.82 ↓ (4.55)	5.74 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
60.5%

Draw
23.7%

Atletico Ascoli
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

20%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

18.4%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sambenedettese's form might have worsened.

Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sambenedettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atletico Ascoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sambenedettese - Atletico Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sambenedettese will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Atletico Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Guadalupi L. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Battista N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Guadalupi L. ⚽,
61', 4 - 0, Lonardo E. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Sambenedettese in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Atletico Ascoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sambenedettese is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sambenedettese to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.12.24	Civitanovese - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Sambenedettese - Fermana	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Termoli - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Sambenedettese - Teramo	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Sora - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.12.24	Sora - Atletico Ascoli	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Teramo - Atletico Ascoli	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	1:2 ✺
13.11.24	Atletico Ascoli - Avezzano	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
08.09.24	Atletico Ascoli - Sambenedettese	0:0
21.04.24	Atletico Ascoli - Sambenedettese	2:1
10.12.23	Sambenedettese - Atletico Ascoli	2:2

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