Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Sammaurese		Fossombrone

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.98	2.32
	2.38	3.24	2.75	Watch
	2.98	2.94	2.35
	2.9	3.05	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.35)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	2.45 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sammaurese
32.8%

Draw
29.9%

Fossombrone
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sammaurese's form might have worsened.

Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sammaurese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fossombrone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sammaurese - Fossombrone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

Recently, Fossombrone has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group F
26.10.25	Teramo - Sammaurese	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Sammaurese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Sora - Sammaurese	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Maceratese - Sammaurese	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Sammaurese - UniPomezia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
26.10.25	Fossombrone - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Ostia Mare - Fossombrone	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Fossombrone - Teramo	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Fossombrone - Ancona	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.10.25	Fossombrone - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Sammaurese - Fossombrone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide