The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fossombrone 41%
Draw 28.5%
Notaresco 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
28.7%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
28.5%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fossombrone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Notaresco aligns with the current prediction.
Fossombrone - Notaresco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Arrigoni A. (Pen),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
Fossombrone is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Notaresco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Fossombrone might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Watch
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