The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sammaurese 14.5%
Draw 21.4%
Ostia Mare 64.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.6%
21.6%
65.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.2%
21%
67.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sammaurese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Sammaurese - Ostia Mare Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
Recent form of Sammaurese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ostia Mare is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sammaurese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ostia Mare is the obvious favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sammaurese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:7.